Ad verba per numeros

Search

 

---

Most Recent Entries
Uso de medios sociales por parte del profesorado universitario (2023)

Medios sociales: una definición

¿Qué posiciones ideológicas usan más bulos y bots?

Prophylaxis for Twitter

Something is rotten in the state of Denmark

El desarrollo de software no se parece a la construcción, se parece a la alta cocina

You should have put a preprint on it...

Call for Papers for the WEBDATANET CONFERENCE 2015

Brief comment on a paper: "Pacts with Twitter. Predicting voters' indecision and preferences for coalitions in multiparty systems"

So you tried to predict elections with Twitter....

---

Categories
Última hora
  Cursos de Extensión Universitaria
  HOT!
General
  Breves
  Off-topic
  Miscelánea
  Artículos
  Doctorado y máster
  Investigación
Específicos por PFC
  Identificación de idioma
  Parametrización mediante AG
  Corpora paralelos UE
  Simulador geopolítico
  Segmentación de Chino
  Desarrollo de corpora comparables
  Integración de documentos
  Segmentación en pasajes
  Etiquetado colaborativo
  Twitter
  Turismo
  Hebbian learning
  Agregador bayesiano
Específicos por proyectante
Técnicas PLN/NLP
  Recuperación de Información
Servicios y Utilidades
Novedad Wiki
Específicos por plataforma
  Linux
Hype-Buzz
Hojas de ruta

---

Archives
View Archives
Links
Home
Contact Me
Stats
Wiki para proyectantes
Página de Dani
Zeroth (pasos iniciales para poner en marcha el PFC)
Recuperación MIW Ajax+PHP

---

---

Twitter

For the umpteenth time someone has asked me if Twitter can predict elections. Obviously my stereotypical answer fits in a tweet but I feel a more elaborated answer was needed.

So, this post is my answer. Its not to be lengthy, just a number of links to papers on the topic and a subsection devoted to promising lines of research.

My position (published papers):

• A Meta-Analysis of State-of-the-Art Electoral Prediction From Twitter Data
• No, You Cannot Predict Elections with Twitter
• How (Not) To Predict Elections
• Don't turn social media into another 'Literary Digest' Poll
• Limits of Electoral Predictions using Social Media Data

My position (blog posts):

• A warning against converting Twitter into the Next Literary Digest
• Why you CANNOT predict elections from Twitter
• Don't Turn Social Media Into Another 'Literary Digest' Poll
• I Wanted to Predict Elections with Twitter and all I got was this Lousy Paper
• arXiv preprint: "A meta-analysis of state-of-the-art electoral prediction from Twitter data"
• Notarial post: US 2012 elections prediction
• Baseline for US 2012 electoral predictions
• On Twitter and Elections, catchy paper titles, press releases and telling scientist's opinions from facts: A brief comment to DiGrazia et al. 2013 and to Fabio Rojas Op-Ed in Washington Post
• On the lack of citation to Morstatter et al. 2013 in DiGrazia et al. 2013
• Baseline forecasts/predictions for US elections, 2014

Recent interesting research (by others):

• Predicting US primary elections with Twitter
• On voting intentions inference from Twitter content: a case study on UK 2010 General Election
• A user-centric model of voting intention from Social Media
• Multi-cycle forecasting of congressional elections with social media
• Predicting and Interpolating State-level Polling using Twitter Textual Data
• Online and social media data as a flawed continuous panel survey

---

Back Next